Thursday, October 13, 2016

Q3 Results are out - LLUB.N.000......Profits UP

Chevron Lubricants, commonly known as CALTEX is one of the highest dividend paying companies
in the CSE. Yielding 8 - 9% annually, this counter gives its dividends on the following month of every Quarter. As they are showing an EPS of 4.17 for the Quarter, they have announced a dividend of 3.50 per share. Year 2016 was a great year for the Chevron Shareholders. First they gave 6 rupees of dividends in April, soon after they did a 1 to 2 split, then in June they gave another dividend of 5 per share, then another 3.00 in July, then another 3.50 now. If you had bought a stock to have enjoyed all these Your yield would have been :

Stock Price 1 day before the XD Date of the April Dividend - 316.90
Then the Stock got split into 2, as such you have 2 shares at a cost of - 160.23 per share.
The Total of dividends you received - 6.00 + 5.00 + 3.00 + 3.50 = 17.50
The yield therefore is a decent 10.92%, almost 11%, this is the fixed deposit rate of some of the Banks.

Presently the counter is trending between 160 and 170, and traders will have to settle in trading within this cool 10.00 rupee gap, which works out to a return of roughly 4%, if you take it at 160.

This counter must be in your watch list, and will surely make you a lot of money if you patiently wait to grab it at 160 - 162 region as the performance can trigger a breakout above 170 in a good market.

Presently the MARKET SENTIMENT SUCKS, THANKS TO OUR WELL EXPERIENCED POLICY MAKERS...........

This counter can trade above 170 if investors react against the bearish sentiments visible at present.
Today's price will determine the direction.


Tuesday, October 4, 2016

DO NOT TRADE IF YOU DO NOT KNOW THE - STOP LOSS

The journey of trading from a Non Professional to a Professional will be defined by ONE THING ONLY.... that is the guts to STOP LOSS. If you can't Stop Loss, then feel sorry, you are not a Professional Trader.
That is why we do not see many Professional Traders in Sri Lanka.
STOP LOSS is not rocket science, it is a simple calculation.
It is this - If you want to be a trader YOU MUST BE WILLING TO PLAN TO EXPECT A LOSS. If you are prepared to take a loss, you must decide on the amount you are willing to LOOSE. Are you willing to loose 100, 1000, 10000, 100000 on a trade? Say you are willing to Loose 1000 rupees then you must know your Buy price and the Stop loss Price, and the difference between the 2. Meaning if the Buy Price is 10 and the Stop loss price is 8, then the loss you are willing to take is 2. Once you know the amount you are willing to loose and the rupee difference, THEN you know how many shares you want to buy. In this example it is 1000/2 = 500 shares. That's it, you need to know that your lot size per trade is 500 shares to loose 1000 if you stop your loss at a price difference of 2. Is this rocket science? NO, but it is easier said than done. To be a Professional Trader you must develop this discipline else DO NOT TRADE.

Next thing is to know the chances of you loosing this amount. If the buy and the stop prices are near to each other then you will see it coming down fast. But if the price difference has a wider gap then you may not want to stop before you sell at a profit. eg: If your buy is 10 and the stop is 8 while your sell is 14 then the gap between the buy and the stop is Narrow. But if your buy is 10 and the stop is 5 whilst your sell is 15 then the gap is wide. Furthermore the lot size also will adjust based on this difference. Meaning if the gap is 2 and you are willing to loose 1000, then your lot size will be 500, but when the gap is 5 and you are willing to loose 1000 then you will buy 200.

Trading to a disciplined plan makes you a PROFESSIONAL TRADER  out of the PACK of ignorant and naive Traders.



Monday, October 3, 2016

JKH and ComBank

JKH has rallied from 148.00. Today's close was @ 156.00. But the way it closed was not ideally bullish. After going up 3.50 over the Friday's close, it was down 1.50. As such tomorrows performance is critical for it to move higher and test 160.00. Already it has increased 9.50 from 148.00, therefore testing 160 means that it would have gone up 12.00, which is an increase of 8.11% before cost. But good news for the bulls is that it is in an uptrend, and staying above 151 is good news for them. As for the Bears today's close is a KISS on the downward slope trend line plotted from the high of 165.00 and the next high of 158.90. Price must break it out, else the bears will have an upper hand. Staying above the upward trend line support is what I expect in the short term.


ComBank touched 148.00 but failed to close there. A critical symmetrical Triangle is positioned, which crosses each other @ 142.00, and the lower high downward sloped trend line has been broken out. That is very good for the bulls. A visible strong support is available at 140.00, whilst the symmetrical cross at 142.00 looks the short term support.

 Performance of these 2 counters will be critical for the overall market's survival.

ලංකාවෙ ෂෙයා මාකට්‍ එකේ ඉතිහාස කථාව....

ෂෙයා මාකට්‍ එකට කියන්නේ කොළඹ කොටස් වෙළඳ පොල කියලා. අවුරැදු 130ට ඉස්සර සුද්දො කෝපි වතු වවන කාලේ සල්ලි ඉන්වෙස්ට්‍ කරපු අයට ඒ වෙනුවට කොටස් දුන්නා.එහෙම කොටස් අයිති කාරයෝ ඒ කොටස් ගනු දෙනු කලා. ඒ කාලේ ඒ කියන්නේ කෝපි කාලේ ඉඳලා තමයි ෂෙයා මාකට්‍ එක තිබිලා තියෙන්නේ. මේ ෂෙයා මාකට්‍ එක අපි හැමෝටම ට්‍රේඩ් කරන්න දිග හැරෙන්නේ 1985 පස්සේ. ඒකියන්නේ හරියටම අවුරුදු 31ට ඉස්සර. ඊට පස්සේ ඹන් ලයින් ට්‍රේඩින් පටන් ගත්තේ 1991-1997 කාලයේදි. ඒ බ්‍රෝකස් ලට. ක්ලයන්ට්ස් ලට ට්‍රේඩ් කරන්න පුලුවන් වුනේ 2000න් පස්සේ. ඒක ඡනප්‍රිය වුනේ 2009න් පස්සේ. චාට්ස් වලින් ට්‍රේඩින් කරන එක තවම ගොඩක් අයට පුරුදු නැහැ. කොටින්ම ගොඩක් බ්‍රෝකස් ල පවා තවම චාට්ස් වලින් ට්‍රේඩ් කරන විෂ්වාශය ගොඩ නඟාගෙන නැහැ. ඒත් ෆොරෙක්ස් ට්‍රේඩ් කරන්න පුලුවන් අයට චාට්ස් වලින් ට්‍රේඩ් කරන එක කඡ්ඡක් නෙවෙයි. කොටස් කියන්නේ අැත්තටම කම්පනියක අයිති කාරයෙක් වෙන වැඩක්, ඹයා චාට්ස් බලලා ෂෙයාස් ගත්තට පස්සේ විකුණන කල් ඒ  කම්පනි එකේ අයිති කාරයෙක් වෙනවා. ඒ අතර තුර කොටස් හිමියෙකුට ලැබෙන වාසි තියෙන වානම් ඒ දේවල් ඹයාට ලැබෙනවා. ෂෙයාස් චාට් වලින් ට්‍රේඩ් කරන විදිහ දැන ගෙන ට්‍රේඩ් කරන්න ඹ්නේ. නැත්තම් අපරා දේ, තේරැමක් නැහැ. ස්ටොක් බ්‍රෝකස් ලා ට්‍රේන් වෙලායි ඉන්නෙ. කම්පනි ගැන දැනුමක් තියෙන චාට් වලින් ට්‍රේඩ් කරන්න දන්න නීතී රීථි දන්න විශ්වාසයෙන් කටයුතු කරන බ්‍රෝක කෙනෙක් තුලින් ඹයාට හොඳ ගමණක් යන්න පුලුවන්.

Saturday, October 1, 2016

ඔයා දන්නවද???



ඔයා දන්නවද??? ලංකාවෙ කොටස් ෆොරෙක්ස් වගෙ ෙට්‍ර්‍ඩ්‍ කරන්න පුළුවන් කියලා? සල්ලි දාන් නැතුව ඉගෙන ගෙන ඊට පස්සේ සල්ලි දාන්න පුළුවන්. හංගලා ගැහිලි හොර වංචා කිසිවක් නැහැ. ෙට්‍ර්‍ඩ්‍ කරන්න දන්න අයට අපේ මාකට්‍ එකේ ෙට්‍ර්‍ඩ්‍ කරන එක හරි වාසියි ලේසියි.

Technical Analysis on Sri Lankan Stocks

සුභ දවසකට අාසිරි. ප්‍රථම වතාවට කොළඹ කොටස්‍ සදහා කාර්මික විශ්ලේෂණ වාර්තාවන් මගේ Blog පිටුවෙහි බලාපොරොත්තු වන්න.

Loss and Gain of the ASI in 2021 vs the Loss in 2022

  This ASI chart shows the All time high in 2021 of 9025.82 on the 29th 0f Jan'21 and the fall to the yearly low of 6852.64 on the 19th ...