The week just finished, tested the 2016 price territory. The worst day was the 25th as the market closed at 5833. Indications were to break down below the 2016 low of 5802. The market opened on the 26th with a point drop at 5832, and then the day closed with a breathing space. ASI is enjoying that space of breathing till yesterday to close the week at 5862 points, Exactly 60 points above the 2016 lows. However the RSI has a positive divergence, with the present low being higher than the previous low....THE ONLY SILVER LINING IN THE DARKEST PERIOD IN THE POST-WAR STOCK MARKET.
The monitory and fiscal policy handlers in present Sri Lanka has a strategy which is in action for more than 3 years now. They think that strategy will make Mother Lanka PROSPEROUS in the future. It's a strategy amidst many strategies in the ocean. Results will be known in the future. You may think this will work, OR not. That's the freedom you have.
One of those lessons I learnt during the present times of horrific selling is that the people who called themselves investors started selling LIKE CRAZY. So those so called SAFE MARGIN TRADERS, who normally top up to keep the margin % under control - GAVE UP, and are giving up one by one.
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Coming back to the market, we now see a pull back if it were to happen based by the positive divergence on the RSI, will test once again the 2017 lows, which now sit as the RESISTANCE.
Conversely if the present downward slope to pause, the SUPPORT at 2016 low of 5802 should be respected. Otherwise the fall would bring the index down to test the 2013 lows of 5600.
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